Weekly Recap (May 25–May 29, 2026)
Markets spent much of the week reacting to headlines, but when we zoom out, very little changed structurally. In fact, many of the macro indicators we've been tracking for months continued moving exactly as expected.
We started the week with updates on Bitcoin and Ethereum, and the theme was simple: despite short-term volatility, the higher timeframe thesis remains intact. Both assets continue behaving much more like a healthy correction within an uptrend than the start of a major bear market.
Bitcoin’s bottom has been eerily similar to one of Google’s corrections, which we uncovered in this video.
On the altcoin side, AIOZ remained one of our major focuses. We compared the current setup to its 2023 move that ultimately resulted in a 15x advance. No two charts are identical, but the similarities in structure, consolidation, and breakout behavior are difficult to ignore. AIOZ continues to look like a chart that wants higher prices if broader market conditions cooperate.
One of the strongest intermarket signals we discussed was the Russell 2000 and KOSPI relationship. The KOSPI has historically been an excellent leading indicator for risk assets, and right now it's suggesting the Russell 2000 may be preparing for another significant move higher. As we've discussed countless times, small caps tend to lead speculative assets. If RTY breaks higher, crypto historically follows.
Ethereum also continues to mirror its 2022 bottoming structure surprisingly well. We revisited the comparison this week, and while no fractal is perfect, the similarities remain compelling. ETH continues to be one of the most important charts in the market because historically altseason doesn't truly begin until Ethereum starts outperforming.
From a macro perspective, one of the biggest developments was seeing both Oil and the US 10-Year Yield continue rolling over as anticipated. This has been one of our core macro theses for months. Lower oil prices help reduce inflation pressure. Lower yields improve liquidity conditions. Better liquidity tends to support both equities and crypto. This isn't an overnight process, but the pieces continue falling into place.
Midweek, markets got a dose of volatility from renewed US-Iran conflict headlines. As we've seen repeatedly over the past year, geopolitical events create fear first and analysis second. Markets initially reacted negatively, but when we studied historical examples, the conclusion remained the same: geopolitical shocks tend to create temporary volatility rather than long-term trend changes unless they materially impact liquidity.
We also revisited Bitcoin Cost of Production, one of the strongest macro tools we've introduced this cycle. The backtest continues showing that cost-of-production zones act as major support levels throughout Bitcoin's history. The indicator isn't signaling euphoria. It's signaling that Bitcoin remains well-supported from a long-term perspective.
Toward the end of the week, we shifted our attention toward something many people aren't thinking about enough: selling strategies.
Everyone spends years learning how to buy.
Very few spend time learning how to sell.
The reality is that if the broader altseason thesis plays out, having a plan for exits will be just as important as finding the right entries. Emotional selling destroys more portfolios than bad chart analysis ever will. The goal is to create a framework before emotions take over.
So where does that leave us heading into June?
• Oil and yields continue rolling over as expected
• RTY and KOSPI continue supporting the risk-on thesis
• Ethereum still mirrors prior bottoming structures
• AIOZ continues showing strong breakout characteristics
• Bitcoin cost of production remains supportive
• Retail sentiment remains far from euphoric
• Altseason preparation is becoming increasingly important
The headlines this week were scary.
The data wasn't.
And that's an important distinction.
As long as the macro pieces continue aligning, the bigger-picture thesis remains unchanged. There will be volatility. There will be pullbacks. There will be scary headlines.
But the market doesn't care about fear.
It cares about liquidity.
And right now, the liquidity picture continues improving.
Stay disciplined. Stay objective. Stick to the plan.
WAGMI.
